Power of the energy of the 11-year solar cycle and its dependence on the duration of the solar cycle
1Abdussamatov, HI 1Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory, Pulkovo, Russia |
Kinemat. fiz. nebesnyh tel (Online) 2015, 31(4):54-60 |
Start Page: Solar Physics |
Language: Russian |
Abstract: We propose to determine a full physical characteristic of the total power of the solar cycle from the weighted average value of the absolute TSI for the entire 11-year cycle. This allows to define objectively the absolute energy power of the cycle, as well as to predict its impact on the processes occurring in the Sun-Earth system. Similarly, the total relative power of the solar activity cycle should be defined. As a result of the study of relative powers and durations of all 24 cycles, we found an inverse relationship between the duration of the cycle and its energy power. With decreasing power of the energy of the cycle (the TSI and solar activity) its duration increases, and vice versa. An inverse relationship between the duration of the 11-year cycle and its energy power is a consequence of the effect of quasi-bicentennial solar cycle. The results obtained may explain why the length of the 11-year solar cycles may be some possible indicator of the climate changes only during the phase of growth or decline of the quasi-bicentennial solar cycle. |
Keywords: cycle, power cycle of the cycle, Sun |
1.Kh. I. Abdusamatov, “Long-term variations of the integral radiation flux and possible temperature changes in the solar core,” Kinematics Phys. Celestial Bodies 21, 328–332 (2005).
2.Kh. I. Abdusamatov, “Optimal prediction of the peak of the next 11-year activity cycle and of the peaks of several succeeding cycles on the basis of long-term variations in the solar radius or solar constant,” Kinematics Phys. Celestial Bodies 23, 97–100 (2007).
https://doi.org/10.3103/S0884591307030026
3.Kh. I. Abdusamatov, “Bicentennial decrease of the solar constant leads to the Earth’s unbalanced heat budget and deep climate cooling,” Kinematics Phys. Celestial Bodies 28, 62–68 (2012).
https://doi.org/10.3103/S088459131202002X
4.Kh. I. Abdusamatov, Grand Minimum of the Total Solar Irradiance Leads to the Little Ice Age (Nestor-Istoriya, St. Petersburg, 2013) [in Russian].
5.E. Friis-Christensen and K. Lassen, “Length of the solar cycle: an indicator of solar activity closely associated with climate,” Science 254, 698–700 (1991).
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.254.5032.698
6.A. I. Shapiro, W. Schmutz, E. Rozanov, et al., “A new approach to the long-term reconstruction of the solar irradiance leads to large historical solar forcing,” Astron. Astrophys. 529, A67 (2011).
https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201016173